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THE QUEST FOR SECURITY AND STABILITY

Vol. 21 No. 1, SPRING (JANUARY-MARCH) 2017
    PSYCHOLOGY IN POLITICAL FORECASTING: CURRENT AND LONG-RANGE DIMENSIONS

Akop P Nazaretyan argues that historical determining factors are mostly of a mental nature. The state of and fluctuations in mass consciousness, the ambitions and talents of authoritative leaders and other such “subjective” factors frequently determine social events more forcefully than “objective” factors.

Author: Akop P Nazaretyan
    DISARMAMENT: EVOLUTION OR REVOLUTION

Mohamed Alolaimy develops a theoretical framework on disarmament by critically reviewing relevant contemporary theories. He also examines whether disarmament could be achieved through a clear-cut shift or gradually through the progress of vertical arms control and non-proliferation.

Author: Mohamed Alolaimy
    THE FALSE PROMISE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS: GREAT POWER OR SUBORDINATE ALLY?

Shubham Sharma argues that the nuclearisation of South Asia has deprived India of its territorial, demographic and conventional edge over Pakistan. Moreover, through the Nuclear Deal with the US, India has sacrificed some of its strategic autonomy while remaining vulnerable to Pakistani and Chinese hostility. On balance the  pursuit of a nuclear deterrent has brought more losses than gains.

Author: Shubham Sharma
    THE BRICS: A CONJURED CONCLAVE?

Challenging projections about the growth and influence of BRICS, Attar Rabbani argues that instead of rivalling the G-7, BRICS could become a distant memory if growth figures decline within member nations. Geopolitics, entrenched structural complexities together with confliting interests would pull apart the constituent units of the conclave sooner rather than later.

Author: Attar Rabbani
    CHINA’S STRATEGY ON THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DISPUTES

China is one of the most signifi cant players in the South China Sea and its activities, policies and strategies have always had a deep impact on the Asia–Pacifi c region. Leishangthem Bimolchand Singh analyses China’s position and assertive moves over the issue as well as its response to the recent arbitral tribunal’s ruling on the South China Sea.

Author: Leishangthem Bimolchand Singh
    PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS FOR REGIONAL INTEGRATION IN SOUTH ASIA AND NORTHEAST ASIA: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

Despite South Asia and Northeast Asia sharing several commonalities, with huge potential for economic cooperation and development, they remain mired in territorial disputes and  mutual suspicion among constituent countries. Ranjit Kumar Dhawan makes a comparative analysis of the problems and prospects for regional integration in South Asia and Northeast Asia.

Author: Ranjit Kumar Dhawan
    CHALLENGES TO NATIONAL SECURITY IN INDIA

There are numerous challenges to the national security of India and the extent and scope of threats are complex, varied and vast. C Arunkumar and P Sakthivel argue that if appropriate actions are not taken, the threats may result in the gradual degradation of the Indian state. They suggest a new set of policies and mechanisms in diverse arenas.

Author: C Arunkumar and P Sakthivel
    NARENDRA MODI’S ANTI-TERRORISM STRATEGY AND INDIA’S ISLAMIC NEIGHBOURS

Considering that dealing with Islamabad peacefully through bilateral talks and promises has failed, Narendra Modi too has hardened his stance. Prasanta Sahoo asserts that while most big powers including China, Russia and the US are hesitant to openly appreciate Modi’s antiterrorism strategy, India’s neighbours for now are standing with it.

Author: Prasanta Sahoo
    NATIONAL RECONCILIATION IN MYANMAR: THE NATIONAL LEAGUE FOR DEMOCRACY WAY

Given the decaying military rule and reigning democratic government in Myanmar, Paode A highlights the various methods for national reconciliation adopted so far and argues that by altering both the military and USDP strategies for national reconciliation, the NLD may provide more suitable means and opportunities for resolving ethnic and political tensions.

Author: Paode A
    WHERE IS PRESIDENT RODRIGO DUTERTE TAKING THE PHILIPPINES?

President Duterte has launched a wide-ranging campaign of extra judicial killings in violation of constitutional norms and legal procedures. Disregarding ASEAN practices, he has also initiated a strategic shift away from the US towards China and Russia. Vinod Saighal points out that the advent of the Trump administration may halt the far reaching moves, although the evolution of the Philippines’ policies is unpredictable.

Author: Vinod Saighal